Trafalgar Pollster Finds 22.5 Point Trump Lead in Final Survey Before New Hampshire Primary

by Ben Whedon


Trafalgar group founder Robert Cahaly on Monday forecast a major victory for former President Donald Trump in New Hampshire ahead of the Tuesday primary election, contending that most supporters of Florida GOP Gov. Ron DeSantis had rallied behind the former president following the latter dropping out of the race.

“So this is kind of exciting. This has not even been released publicly yet… New New Hampshire poll, has Trump at 58.3 and Haley at 35.8,” Cahaly declared on the “Just the News, No Noise” television show.

“I think [it] indicates a couple of things. One, the DeSantis people have consolidated for the most part behind Trump,” he said. “Two, there has been a significant effort to get those people who are independents who lean Democrat, to participate in the Democratic primary and write in Joe Biden. And I think, once Haley didn’t look viable, she’s losing a lot of people to that. We’re finding less less people who were identified as Democrats before who would become independent, who say they’re participating.”

Apart from DeSantis, tech mogul Vivek Ramaswamy also withdrew from the race after the Iowa Caucus last week and threw his support behind the front runner. Ramaswamy, along with ex-GOP presidential candidates Gov. Doug Burgum, R-N.D., and Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C., are expected to appear at a rally alongside Trump on Monday evening.

Trump currently leads Haley by 18.2% in the RealClearPolitics polling average, which includes the Trafalgar figures.

“So I would credit to that, and just the momentum that has come from what’s been happening in the last few days,” Cahaly went on. “Now, whether that makes Nikki get out, I don’t know, because she raised so much money, and she’s on the ballot and all these other states, and she’s already bought ads. Now, should she get out? Yeah, I think, for her own sake of, you know, losing your home state is the thing political obituaries are made of, and I just don’t see how she has viability if she gets beat… in her own state.”

“So, I would think for her future, she should probably get out. But will she? I don’t know. And, will her donors give up? I mean, some of her donors are also supporting some of the prosecutions against Trump, so maybe not,” he concluded.

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Ben Whedon is an editor and reporter for Just the News. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter.



Reprinted with permission from Just the News.

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