Trump Leading Harris in All Major Swing-State Polling Averages as Election Hits Home Stretch

Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Former President Donald Trump is ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in all of the top swing states as the end of the presidential race draws closer, according new RealClearPolitics polling averages.

Trump has a 0.8 point lead pulling 48.3% support across seven key battleground states compared to Harris at 47.5%, according to the polling averages. The Republican presidential nominee is ahead of Harris in the states of Wisconsin, Georgia, Michigan, Arizona, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Nevada. on October 16, 2024 in Washington Crossing, Pennsylvania.  

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Election Results Likely to Be Delayed Nationwide by State Rules, Litigation, and Investigations

Counting or certification of the November election results are likely to be delayed nationwide, as states are promulgating different rules on receiving mail ballots, ongoing and likely election litigation, and possible investigations over irregularities, warns an election integrity proponent.

As the 2020 election results were delayed until Joe Biden was announced the winner of the presidential race the Saturday after Election Day, there will likely also be a delay in announcing this year’s presidential contest. The delays this year could be the result of a variety of factors, especially with such a close election, according to Honest Elections Project Executive Director Jason Snead.

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Trump Gains in Battlegrounds, National Polling as Harris Surge Fades

Trump Rally

Polling data increasingly shows former President Donald Trump gaining ground on Vice President Kamala Harris in both the national race and in key battlegrounds, suggesting that her debate performance has not fundamentally altered the race.

The latest New York Times/Siena College poll shows the pair are tied at 47% support among likely voters nationwide. The current RealClearPolitics polling average shows Harris with a 1.9% lead, roughly where it has sat for all of September.

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RFK Jr.’s Quest to Remove Name from Ballot Hits Snags, Sees Some Victories as Lawsuits Continue

Robert F. Kennedy Jr

Former independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., is working to get his name removed from presidential ballots across various states, which has resulted in lawsuits in swing states where his requests were initially denied. While those lawsuits started as losses for him, upon appeal, Kennedy has seen success in removing his name from some of the ballots.

Following his withdrawal from the presidential race and endorsement of GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump, Kennedy has tried to get his name removed from presidential ballots in swing states. However, in some of those states, Democrats have attempted to prevent him from doing so, even after they had initially tried to keep him from being placed on the ballot.

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Trump Leads Harris in Key Battleground States: Poll

Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in front of The White House (composite image)

The RealClearPolitics polling average currently places all four states in Trump’s column in its “no toss ups” column.

Former President Donald Trump has carved out a lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in key battleground states, potentially signaling the end of a surge for the Democrat that occurred in the wake of President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the race.

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New American Greatness Poll: Battlegrounds Are a Dead Heat

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in front of The White House (composite image)

Brand new polling across the battleground states shows that Biden’s exit has tightened the presidential race, with Kamala Harris at a narrow 47-46 percent advantage in a head-to-head matchup, with 7 percent undecided. Harris is also +1 percent in a multi-candidate ballot test across the battlegrounds.

The American Greatness poll was conducted by North Star Opinion Research and interviewed 1400 likely voters, 200 per state in Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and North Carolina.

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Oddsmakers Move Walz Behind Shapiro as Kamala Harris’ Pick

Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, and Tim Walz in front of The White House (composite image)

As the final hours tick down to an expected announcement, the pick for vice president on the Democrats’ ticket remains shrouded in secrecy and angled toward the governor of Pennsylvania.

Vice President Kamala Harris’ reveal is expected before Tuesday’s launch of a battleground states tour in Philadelphia. While the campaign has cautioned the starting point where she is expected to be alongside her running mate is not an indicator of the choice, a leading candidate since July 21 has been Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro and Monday morning Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz appeared to be a finalist.

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